Research
Research

The State of Investing
and The Economy

There are two competing narratives regarding the future economic outlook. The optimistic one anticipates a path towards a fairer global trading system, through creative destruction, with the U.S. securing concessions from its trading partners and potentially benefiting from looser monetary policy and tax cuts.

Research

Decoding the Global Macro Environment
2Q 2025 Strategy Outlook

The first quarter of 2025 is likely to be etched in the memory of market participants. This period witnessed not only a marked recalibration of the prevailing narrative surrounding the U.S. economy, but a swift unraveling of long-held tenets of the global economic order- an unravelling that meaningfully accelerated in the beginning of the second quarter. The consequence was a notable sell-off in U.S. equities and a stark underperformance relative to their European counterparts, and a U.S. government bond market caught in the crosscurrents of subdued growth and elevated inflation. There was also considerable pressure on commodities, with indications of some forced portfolio de-leveraging.

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